As many as five million workers in Vietnam are at high risk of losing their jobs by 2020 because of the boom in artificial intelligence, which may replace laborers with robots, according to a recent study by the International Labor Organization (ILO).
Vietnam may lose five million jobs to automation
The quality of Vietnamese human resources stood at only 3.79 out of 10 points, ranking the country 11th out of 12 countries surveyed in Asia, said Tran Anh Tuan, deputy director of the HCMC Center of Forecasting Manpower Needs and Labor Market Information, as quoted in Thanh Nien newspaper.
The country also had a low competitiveness index, earning 4.3 out of 10 points and being placed 56th among 133 countries, while only 20.3% of the workers had adequate qualifications in 2015. Moreover, Vietnamese laborers lack the necessary skills in foreign languages, information technology, teamwork and communication, besides responsibility.
In the next 20 years, more than half of the workers in five Southeast Asian countries, including Vietnam, may lose their jobs, with those in the textile-garment sector being the most vulnerable.
The ILO’s study shows that most of the workers in the apparel sector are from Indonesia, Vietnam and Cambodia, with 64%, 86% and 88% of them respectively likely to lose their jobs to automation.
Many domestic enterprises, such as Viet Thang Jean Co., Ltd, (VitaJean), have invested heavily in modern technologies and equipment, thus reducing the number of workers. VitaJean expects to replace 60-80% of its employees with machines.
According to Pham Van Viet, general director of VitaJean, the number of workers may be cut to 450 from the current 1,800. The company will complete installing automatic production lines by next year, enabling it to reduce the prices of products by 20% and recover the investment within five years.
Gas stove manufacturer Namilux has also automated its production lines. The application of advanced technology will help enterprises reduce the number of laborers to one-third, one-fourth or even one-tenth of their current payrolls, Namilux General Director Nguyen Manh Dung said.
Despite high costs, it is necessary for enterprises to automate their production lines to raise their competitiveness and avoid lagging behind rivals or going bankrupt, he added.
Do Quynh Chi, director of the Research Center for Labor Relations, cited data from the ILO to warn that 86% of Vietnamese workers in the textile-garment, footwear and electronics sectors will be replaced with robots by 2050.
According to Vu Quang Tho, head of the Institute for Workers and Trade Unions under the Vietnam General Confederation of Labor, the trend of using modern equipment and technology rather than workers is aimed at generating higher profits.
As for solutions to support the workers, Tho called for the improvement of manpower skills so that they can operate modern equipment. In addition, the Government should issue effective welfare policies for workers.
He also stated that enterprises, especially foreign-invested ones, must commit to hiring a certain number of local workers and providing them with the training needed to run modern machines before they are permitted to do business in the country.
Nguyen Dinh Hoa, dean of the Faculty of Labor Relations and Trade Unions of Ton Duc Thang University, stressed that the number of local enterprises replacing workers with robots remained small. However, the trend is unavoidable, so it is crucial to provide training for workers.